高空气球外形计算及通用算法设计

高空气球为临近空间中的研究提供了可靠的低成本平台。目前高空气球球形一般直接采用"自然形"或以"自然形"为基础,但通用、简捷地求解"自然形"外形方程一直是个难点。将"自然形"气球外形求解问题转化为最优控制问题,利用最优控制领域成熟的求解工具——高斯伪谱法最优化软件包计算气球外形。此外,通过分析外形数据得到外形变化规律,设计通用算法求解任意球形控制因子、任意高度的"自然形"气球外形。结果显示,该算法无须调参便可计算所需的"自然形"球形,便于科研人员快速获得大量所需     

An interface shear damage model of chromium coating/steel substrate under thermal erosion load

The Cr-plated coating inside a gun barrel can effectively improve the barrel's erosion resistance and thus increase the service life.However,due to the cyclic thermal load caused by high-temperature gun-powder,micro-element damage tends to occur within the Cr coating/steel substrate interface,leading to a gradual deterioration in macro-mechanical properties for the material in the related region.In order to mimic this cyclic thermal load and,thereby,study the thermal erosion behavior of the Cr coating on the barrel's inner wall,a laser emitter is utilized in the current study.With the help of in-situ tensile test and finite element simulation results,a shear stress distribution law of the Cr coating/steel substrate and a change law of the interface ultimate shear strength are identified.Studies have shown that the Cr coating/steel substrate interface's ultimate shear strength has a significant weakening effect due to increasing temperature.In this study,the interfacial ultimate shear strength decreases from 2.57 GPa(no erosion)to 1.02 GPa(laser power is 160 W).The data from this experiment is employed to establish a Cr coating/steel substrate interface shear damage model.And this model is used to predict the flaking process of Cr coating by finite element method.The simulation results show that the increase of coating crack spacing and coating thickness will increase the service life of gun barrel.     

蒙特卡洛法的截击空战仿真

针对具体空战环节,应用蒙特卡洛方法仿真了截击空战的全过程,提出了截击空战仿真的程序逻辑方案;并结合具体实例,得出仿真数据,定量分析了空战毁伤概率,进而分析了截击空战的作战效能。仿真结果比较符合实际空战情况,具有一定的创新性和实际应用价值,其分析问题解决问题的方法和过程对解决类似的问题有一定的借鉴意义。     

防空预警雷达阵地配置及其物元分析

防空预警雷达阵地配置是防空兵战前决策的重要内容。首先分析了影响和决定防空预警雷达阵地配置的战术因素、生存因素和地形因素,总结了防空预警雷达阵地配置的约束条件,然后依据整体探测效能最优的原则提出了防空预警雷达阵地配置的基本模型,探讨了通过调整约束参数来自动生成方案及控制方案数量的问题,最后运用物元分析法对配置方案的合理性进行了分析评判,并对配置方案进行排序,以辅助指挥员决策。     

Real-time prediction of projectile penetration to laminates by training machine learning models withfinite element solver as the trainer

Studies on ballistic penetration to laminates is complicated, but important for design effective protection of structures. Experimental means of study is expensive and can often be dangerous. Numerical simu-lation has been an excellent supplement, but the computation is time-consuming. Main aim of this thesis was to develop and test an effective tool for real-time prediction of projectile penetrations to laminates by training a neural network and a decision tree regression model. A large number of finite element models were developed;the residual velocities of projectiles fromfinite element simulations were used as the target data and processed to produce sufficient number of training samples. Study focused on steel 4340tpolyurea laminates with various configurations. Four different 3D shapes of the projectiles were modeled and used in the training. The trained neural network and decision tree model was tested using independently generated test samples using finite element models. The predicted projectile velocity values using the trained machine learning models are then compared with thefinite element simulation to verify the effectiveness of the models. Additionally, both models were trained using a published experimental data of projectile impacts to predict residual velocity of projectiles for the unseen samples. Performance of both the models was evaluated and compared. Models trained with Finite element simulation data samples were found capable to give more accurate predication, compared to the models trained with experimental data, becausefinite element modeling can generate much larger training set, and thus finite element solvers can serve as an excellent teacher. This study also showed that neural network model performs better with small experimental dataset compared to decision tree regression model.     

基于GAHP的模糊综合评判法在潜艇 作战方案评估中的应用

潜艇作战方案评估是辅助对潜指挥员决策的重要方法,而评估的科学性对决策的有效性影响很大.利用多人层次分析法(GAHP)和模糊综合评判相结合的方法,对潜艇作战方案进行评估,评估的结果可信度高,有利于对潜指挥员的正确决策.最后,通过实例证明了方法的有效性.     

目标选择理论方法

针对现代战争特点和要求,给出了适合不同目标系统的6种打击目标选择理论,即重心效应理论、链条效应理论、瓶颈效应理论、连累效应理论、层次效应理论和组合理论。并运用这些理论,针对不同类型目标,给出了6种方法,即非线性规划方法、集合论方法、矩阵方法、群落型方法、网络型方法和塔型方法,基本涵盖了远程攻击武器目标选择理论与方法。     

攻防对抗仿真中高炮火力单元射击指挥模型

在分析高炮火力单元射击指挥过程的基础上,着重对高炮火力单元射击指挥仿真中的目标搜索模型与杀伤效果评估模型进行了深入探讨和构建。在实现高炮杀伤效果评估方面,运用蒙特卡罗方法构建了符合实际、满足仿真粒度要求的高炮着发射与空炸射击毁伤概率计算模型。实际应用表明:模型满足仿真可信度和实时性要求,对开展地面防空作战仿真具有一定的借鉴意义。     

随机等分组合条件下轮流对抗的Markov链模型

首先,分析了红蓝双方将各自兵器随机等分组合后,轮流进行火力对抗的状态。然后,推导了对抗过程中状态转移的概率矩阵。从而,建立了随机等分组合条件下轮流对抗的离散Markov链模型。在上述基础上,得出了各方获胜概率及平均对抗次数的计算公式,结合公式内部递归关联的特点,提出了计算上述公式的计算机递归算法。最后,结合歼击机与轰炸机进行火力对抗的实例,介绍了该模型的应用方法。供进一步研究参考。     

远程反舰导弹弹道规划研究

以保证远程反舰导弹迅速捕捉目标为出发点,以远程反舰导弹的作战需求为牵引,论述了对远程反舰导弹进行弹道规划的重要意义;从战术和技术两个方面探索了对远程反舰导弹进行弹道规划的主要依据、基本原则、规划思路和基本方法。